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Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On Lithia Motors, Inc. (NYSE:LAD)

Simply Wall St·03/12/2025 10:21:51
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.6x Lithia Motors, Inc. (NYSE:LAD) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 18x and even P/E's higher than 31x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Lithia Motors hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Lithia Motors

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:LAD Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 12th 2025
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Lithia Motors.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Lithia Motors would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 18% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 17% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 17% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we find it odd that Lithia Motors is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Lithia Motors' P/E?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Lithia Motors currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Lithia Motors (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you need to be mindful of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Lithia Motors. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).