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Want To Buy Stocks In 2025? There's One Conflicting Place To Find Winners, Analyst Says

Benzinga·03/25/2025 21:03:56
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If you’re analyzing contrarian opportunities in 2025, this list is worth studying. It highlights names that, despite widespread skepticism, have been outperforming more popular picks.

In a year when Wall Street’s darlings have stumbled, some of the most unloved names in the S&P 500 are quietly delivering gains that put high-conviction buys to shame—and the data may challenge how investors think about analyst ratings.

In a newsletter sent Tuesday, DataTrek Research spotlighted what it called "a truly remarkable list": the 10 S&P 500 companies with the highest share of ‘Sell’ ratings from analysts.

“History and year-to-date returns suggest it is a good place to look for longs,” analysts suggested.

The Contrarian Play: Most-Hated, Yet Outperforming

“Wall Street analysts don’t put ‘Sell’ on many stocks,” Datatrek wrote.

FactSet data shows that of the 12,320 ratings issued on S&P 500 stocks, 55.7% are Buys, 38.7% are Holds, and only 5.6% are Sells.

“The percentage of Buy ratings is above its 5-year (month-end) average of 55.0%. The percentage Hold ratings is below its 5-year (month-end) average of 39.1%. The percentage of Sell ratings is also below its 5-year (month-end) average of 5.9%,” FactSet said.

Here are the 10 S&P 500 stocks with the highest percentage of Sell ratings:

Company Buy Hold Sell
Franklin Resources, Inc. (NYSE:BEN) 0% 60% 40%
VeriSign, Inc. (NASDAQ:VRSN) 40% 20% 40%
Expeditors Intl. of Washington, Inc. (NYSE:EXPD) 0% 61% 39%
T. Rowe Price Group (NASDAQ:TROW) 6% 59% 35%
Paramount Global Class B (NASDAQ:PARA) 13% 52% 35%
FactSet Research Systems Inc. (NYSE:FDS) 17% 50% 33%
Lennox International Inc. (NYSE:LII) 24% 43% 33%
Garmin Ltd. (NYSE:GRMN) 10% 60% 30%
Consolidated Edison, Inc. (NYSE:ED) 6% 65% 29%
Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE:LUV) 20% 52% 28%

As counterintuitive as it may seem, an equal-weighted portfolio of these “Sell-rated” stocks would have returned 3.89% year-to-date through March 25, 2025.

Here’s how the individual “Sell” stocks performed:

Name Total Return (YTD)
Consolidated Edison, Inc. 19.35%
VeriSign, Inc. 18.78%
Paramount Global 11.45%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. 6.88%
Garmin Ltd. 6.33%
Southwest Airlines Co. 3.72%
Franklin Resources, Inc. -1.33%
Lennox International Inc. -3.62%
FactSet Research Systems Inc. -8.25%
T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. -14.42%
Average 3.89%

That performance handily beats the -2.36% decline of the S&P 500, as tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY), and it's miles ahead of the -10% drop in the Magnificent Seven cohort, tracked by the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (NYSE:MAGS).

The "Buy" Darlings Didn't Deliver

Now, contrast that with the 10 most-loved stocks in the S&P 500 — the ones with the highest percentage of Buy ratings.

This basket includes mega-cap giants like Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN), Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA), and Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:MSFT), all ranked in the top tier for analyst sentiment.

But the returns tell a different story. An equal-weighted portfolio of these "Buy-rated" favorites would have lost 4.44% so far in 2025.

Company Buy Hold Sell YTD Return
UnitedHealth Group (NYSE:UNH) 97% 0% 3% +1.97%
Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL) 96% 0% 4% -19.34%
VICI Properties (NYSE:VICI) 96% 4% 0% +9.77%
Microsoft Corp. 95% 5% 0% -6.08%
Amazon.com Inc. 95% 5% 0% -6.22%
Nvidia Corp. 93% 7% 0% -10.14%
United Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:UAL) 92% 4% 4% -18.75%
Trimble Inc. (NASDAQ:TRMB) 92% 8% 0% -0.27%
Synopsys Inc. (NASDAQ:SNPS) 91% 9% 0% -5.79%
Teledyne Technologies Inc. (NYSE:TDY) 91% 9% 0% +10.41%
Average -4.44%

Bottom line, the trend offers a striking insight: being unloved by analysts doesn't necessarily doom a stock to underperformance.

In fact, in a year marked by pullbacks in big tech and sector rotations, contrarian plays are quietly thriving.

For those willing to swim against the tide, Wall Street's least-favored stocks may hold the key to outperformance this year.

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Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.